Ali Martinez has highlighted a TD Sequential buy signal on XRP's three-day chart. With XRP near 1.33 USDT in the KTX daily chart below, the question is whether a possible exhaustion signal can develop into a stronger rebound. Reaching $1.50 would require more than an indicator reading: buyers first need to repair the price structure between here and that resistance area.
What did Ali Martinez actually say?
In his October 27 post, Martinez identified the signal on a three-day chart and cited three earlier rebounds of 31%, 24% and 18%. His latest scenario centers on $1.25: holding it could allow a recovery toward $1.40; losing it while large holders continue taking profits could expose $0.98. These are conditional analyst scenarios, not established future prices.
The $1.50 area lies beyond that immediate recovery scenario and would be a further resistance test after a sustained move through $1.40. Nor do three previous rebounds establish a dependable win rate: the sample is small, market conditions differ, and the outcome depends on how entries, exits and failed signals are defined.
What does a TD Sequential buy signal measure?
the DeMARK indicator explanation distinguishes a nine-count Setup from the separate thirteen-count Countdown. The buy Setup compares nine consecutive closes with the close four bars earlier; Countdown uses another set of price comparisons and need not be consecutive. These tools seek areas of potential trend exhaustion. They do not measure incoming cash or prove that every seller has finished.
The timeframe matters. A three-day bar summarizes three days of price action, while each candle in the supplied KTX chart represents one day. A daily bounce can improve before a longer-period structure resolves, or fail while a higher-timeframe signal remains under consideration. The daily screenshot does not independently reproduce the analyst's three-day indicator calculation.
Think of the signal as a reason to examine what price does next. If selling pressure is tiring, stronger evidence would be a market that stops making lower lows, overcomes nearby resistance and attracts buyers on a pullback. Another lower high would instead show that the indicator has not yet translated into control by the bullish side.
What is visible on the KTX XRP/USDT chart?
The chart shows XRP at 1.3299 USDT, up 2.85% over 24 hours, with a 24-hour high of 1.3441 and low of 1.2912. Turnover is 2.16 million USDT. Those figures describe the capture time and this market; they are not live quotes or a measure of worldwide XRP turnover.
The visible history includes a rally from near 1.00, trading around 1.50, another advance toward 1.60, and a subsequent decline toward 1.30. Recent candles show stabilization attempts, but the earlier highs have not been recovered. That leaves XRP in a repair phase rather than demonstrating that the full decline has reversed.
The chart's active candle shows 619,500 XRP in volume against displayed volume averages of 1.6 million, 2.2 million and 2.2 million. Since that candle may still be forming, its partial volume should not be compared directly with completed periods. The screenshot also lacks the TD overlay, so an indicator count cannot be inferred simply from the color of the latest candle.
What needs to happen before $1.50 becomes realistic?
From 1.3299 to 1.50 is approximately 12.8%; to 1.40 is about 5.3%. These calculations describe price distance, excluding fees and execution differences. They do not estimate the probability of either level being reached or establish that the potential reward justifies the risk.
| Reference area | Constructive development | What would weaken it |
|---|---|---|
| About $1.29–$1.30 | Pullbacks stabilize and establish a higher low | Repeated losses followed by weak reclaims |
| About $1.34–$1.37 | Price clears nearby resistance and holds a retest | A quick move back below the breakout area |
| $1.40 | Recovery progresses into sustained trading above it | Sellers repeatedly reject the rebound |
| $1.50 | Earlier resistance has been repaired first | Price reaches it without durable demand underneath |
| $1.25 | The analyst's broader support condition remains intact | A sustained breakdown undermines that scenario |
A brief wick above resistance is a weaker test than a completed close, a pullback that holds and renewed buying afterward. A successful retest would not eliminate risk, but it would show that buyers are willing to defend a higher price rather than only chase an initial spike. The daily areas are approximate chart-based references; the analyst's levels define a separate conditional scenario.
Which evidence should accompany a price breakout?
Look for participation that survives beyond the first burst of buying. Completed-period volume, the distribution of trades and liquidity available on pullbacks can help distinguish a sustained advance from a short-lived move. One large market order or a momentary order-book imbalance cannot establish continuing demand.
Execution conditions matter as much at the exit as at entry. A displayed last price describes a past trade; the price available for an entire position depends on current buyers, sellers and order size. The KTX liquidity guide explains why a position's screen value and its realizable sale value can differ. That distinction becomes especially important when trading a fast rebound into resistance.
How can traders monitor the setup on KTX?
Use KTX XRP/USDT spot to compare the latest price with completed candles, recent trades and available order-book depth. Keep the daily repair test separate from the original three-day signal. A consistent review interval is more informative than changing the chart timeframe whenever one view appears more favorable.
A practical monitoring plan specifies the condition that would strengthen the thesis, the condition that would invalidate it and the amount of capital that can tolerate a failed rebound. Support is a zone to evaluate, not an automatic purchase instruction. Spot ownership also differs from leveraged exposure, where a forced close can occur before a longer-term scenario develops.
Keep technical price analysis separate from corporate headlines. Holding XRP does not give an investor equity in Ripple; our XRP, Ripple and XRP Ledger comparison explains the distinction. A buy signal is a claim about a price pattern, not a new right to company profits or a guarantee of fundamental value.
Frequently asked questions
Does a green daily candle confirm the three-day signal?
No. It shows daily price movement. Confirmation requires evaluating the relevant timeframe and the subsequent structure, rather than substituting a single green candle for the indicator's rules.
Can XRP reach $1.50 without a straight-line rally?
Yes. A recovery can include consolidations and retests. The issue is whether those pauses preserve progress or recreate lower highs and lower lows.
Do the earlier 31%, 24% and 18% rebounds imply a similar gain now?
No. Those are historical examples cited by the analyst. They are not promised returns or a statistical forecast for the current signal.
Should levels be treated as identical across exchanges?
No. Quote currencies, liquidity and candle boundaries can differ. Check the relevant pair and timing before interpreting small price differences as a failed signal.
Information assessed October 28, 2026. Cryptocurrency prices are volatile. This article explains conditional market scenarios and does not constitute investment advice.