This article is published in the “Market Analysis” section of KTX Crypto Academy and is compiled from the official Web3 market livestream of KTX Baize Business School.

Livestream Date: September 2, 2026

Lead Analyst: Zeyu

Livestream Platform: KTX Official Chinese Lark Group

YouTube Link: https://youtu.be/pwGATn-1GO8

Key Takeaways

1. After pulling back from around $81,500, BTC entered a weak, range-bound structure. Short-term lows moved lower, while MACD momentum had not yet confirmed a clear reversal.

2. For BTC, the key upside levels are $77,400, $79,000, and $81,500; downside levels to watch are $74,865, $72,815, and $70,766.

3. ETH continued to retreat from around $2,566 and briefly tested approximately $2,355, showing greater weakness than BTC.

4. For an ETH rebound, first watch $2,397-$2,423, followed by $2,445-$2,466; stronger resistance lies at $2,496-$2,534.

5. COMP rebounded from around $15.84 to $21.76 before consolidating. The $18.10-$18.80 area is an important short-term support zone.

6. Gold returned to around $4,340 after rallying. The $4,346 level is the short-term dividing line between strength and weakness; only after reclaiming it could price continue toward approximately $4,590.

7. Crude oil rebounded rapidly toward $90, with major resistance at $93.47. After a sustained advance, chasing longs is not advisable; wait for a pullback or confirmed breakout.

8. The current market favors conditional trades: consider shorts only after a rebound meets resistance, and longs only after support stabilizes. Avoid repeatedly chasing price in the middle of a range.

Overall Market Assessment

BTC and ETH are both in a recovery phase after retreating from interim highs. The larger bullish structure has not been completely broken, but short-term highs and lows have begun moving downward, while volume and MACD have not provided sufficiently strong reversal confirmation. Price may continue to fluctuate through probing declines, sharp rebounds, and repeated shakeouts.

Stronger crude oil, volatile gold at elevated levels, and weakness in U.S. equities have increased cross-market volatility. Position sizing should take priority, and a short-term rebound should not automatically be interpreted as the start of a new one-way advance.

BTC Market Analysis

BTC previously reached a high of approximately $81,500, then failed on several breakout attempts and gradually moved lower. During the livestream, price was near $76,800 and briefly dipped to around $76,151. Both the four-hour and one-hour structures showed weakening upside momentum, leaving the market biased toward a range-bound decline.

From a retracement-structure perspective, approximately $77,401 has become a short-term battleground between buyers and sellers. Only after reclaiming this area would price have an opportunity to test $79,000 and $81,500. If the rebound cannot recover $77,400, the broader move should still be treated as weak consolidation.

For BTC, first watch support near $74,865, followed by $72,815 and $70,766. If the market sells off rapidly, avoid chasing shorts near support; instead, watch for declining volume, a reversal candle, or confirmation from a retest.

The short-term BTC strategy can be divided into two scenarios: if price rebounds into resistance and shows rejection, traders may consider following the short-term weakness; if price reaches key support and clearly stabilizes, a rebound opportunity may emerge. Without confirmation, waiting is preferable.

ETH Market Analysis

ETH previously reached a high of approximately $2,566 before forming a sustained pullback. On the one-hour chart during the livestream, price tested a low near $2,355 and then rebounded toward $2,380. However, MACD remained weak, so the rebound could only be viewed as a corrective move after the decline.

The first short-term ETH resistance zone is $2,397-$2,423, and the second is $2,445-$2,466. If the rebound strengthens further, watch approximately $2,496 and $2,534. The short-term structure can turn stronger only after price reclaims and holds these key areas.

For ETH, closely watch whether $2,355 holds. If that low is decisively broken, the next daily-chart levels to monitor are approximately $2,305, $2,225, and $2,145.

ETH is currently weaker than BTC, so long entries require stricter confirmation. A bounce from the low alone is not sufficient grounds for an early bottom call. Wait for support to stabilize, for lows to stop moving downward, and then assess volume and short-term structure.

Correlation Between BTC and ETH

BTC remains the market’s directional anchor. If BTC can reclaim $77,400 and recover toward $79,000, ETH will have a better chance of retaking $2,397-$2,423. If BTC breaks below $74,865, the probability of ETH retesting $2,355 or lower support will rise.

ETH’s relative weakness also implies greater risk in altcoins. Until BTC stabilizes and ETH reclaims key resistance, traders should not heavily chase isolated short-lived rallies in individual tokens.

COMP Market Analysis

On the four-hour chart, COMP began rebounding from approximately $15.84 and reached a high near $21.76 before entering a high-level pullback and consolidation. During the livestream, price was near $19 and remained in a range-bound phase following the rebound.

For COMP, first watch $18.80 and $18.10 on the downside, with additional support near $17.11. As long as buying support develops around $18.10, price may recover again. If that level fails, the correction could extend toward approximately $17.

For COMP, upside levels to watch are $19.50, $20.36, and $21.76. Because the asset is highly volatile, it is better to wait for signals near the range boundaries rather than chase price around the middle of the range near $19.

Gold Market Analysis

Gold experienced a clear pullback after a major advance, returning to around $4,340 during the livestream. The prior rebound was rejected at higher levels, while MACD momentum also weakened. The market still needs confirmation that the short-term pullback has ended.

Approximately $4,346 is the short-term dividing line between strength and weakness for gold. If price reclaims and holds this level, resistance near $4,590 and $4,789 can be monitored. If price remains below $4,346, a retest of the platform near $3,950 remains a risk.

Gold is currently unsuitable for chasing after large price swings. A bullish position should wait for price to reclaim a key level, while a bearish position should wait for a rebound to be rejected rather than chasing shorts at the end of a decline.

Crude Oil Market Analysis

On the daily chart, crude oil rebounded rapidly from approximately $74.32 and had approached $90 during the livestream. Upside momentum remained intact, but after a sustained rise, price was nearing major resistance and the short-term risk-reward ratio for chasing longs had deteriorated.

For crude oil, watch the $90 psychological level and the prior high at $93.47. The trend would gain further room only if price breaks above and holds $93.47. A failed breakout would raise the risk of a high-level pullback.

Downside support levels are $89.37, $86.15, $83.89, and $81.64. A more reasonable approach is to wait for price to pull back and stabilize at support, or to break resistance and then hold it on a retest.

Frequently Asked Questions About BTC and ETH

1. Can BTC be bought immediately after falling to around $76,000?

The size of the decline alone is not enough to make that decision. Watch whether price stabilizes near $76,000 and whether it can reclaim $77,400. If the rebound cannot hold above key resistance, price may still retreat toward $74,865 in the short term.

2. When will BTC’s short-term weakness end?

First, the sequence of lower lows must stop. Next, price needs to reclaim $77,400 and break above the recent rebound high, supported by improved volume and MACD. A single rebound candle is not enough to confirm a reversal.

3. Has ETH already bottomed near $2,355?

At present, the move only confirms a short-term rebound at that level, not a definitive bottom. Confidence in stabilization would improve if price can hold $2,355 and then reclaim $2,397 and $2,423 in sequence.

4. Which levels matter most during an ETH rebound?

First watch $2,397-$2,423, followed by $2,445-$2,466. If a rebound reaches resistance with insufficient volume and weakens again, remain alert to a continuation of the downtrend.

5. Is COMP suitable for chasing higher at current levels?

Chasing price in the middle of the range is not advisable. Volatility increased after COMP rebounded from $15.84, so it is better to wait for support around $18.10-$18.80 or for confirmation after a breakout above $20.36.

6. After gold’s pullback, should traders be bullish or bearish?

The key level is $4,346. A sustained reclaim would support a further rebound; continued trading below it would keep the structure weak and leave the market vulnerable to lower support.

7. Can crude oil still be chased higher near $90?

After a sustained rise, chasing longs directly is not advisable. Wait for a pullback to stabilize at $89.37 or lower support, or for price to break above $93.47 and complete a successful retest.

8. What is the most important trading principle in the current market?

Do not chase rallies or selloffs, and do not use a single candle to declare a trend reversal. Identify support, resistance, and invalidation conditions first, then determine direction and position size.

KTX Trading and Market Tools

Readers can access KTX Crypto to explore platform services and use Spot Trading to monitor BTC, ETH, and the Ethereum Price. For market monitoring, traders can combine Real-Time Market Analysis, Latest Crypto Prices, Crypto Prices, and the AI Trading Signal Radar. Futures users can review BTC Futures, ETH Futures, and Perpetual Futures according to their own risk tolerance, and use Skills to learn about related trading tools.

For strategy execution and account management, KTX provides access to Copy Trading, Trade Copying, Futures Copy Trading, and One-Click Copy Trading. “Capital-Protected Copy Trading” is included only as a page-related keyword and does not constitute a guarantee of principal or returns; all copy trading carries a risk of loss. Position Analysis may help users review asset allocation, but it cannot replace independent judgment.

For on-chain information, users can monitor On-Chain Projects, Meme Coin Movement Monitoring, Smart Money (Chinese), and Smart Money. Other entry points include the Prediction Market, Launchpool, APY product pages, Rewards Hub, and the Benefits Center. These tools are provided only for information lookup and feature access. Read the applicable rules and assess the risks independently before use.

Trading Strategy and Risk Notice

The current market favors conditional trades based on key ranges. BTC and ETH remain weak in the short term, but both have already experienced sustained pullbacks, so chasing shorts also carries the risk of a sharp rebound. Before trading, define entry conditions, stop-loss levels, and invalidation conditions, and control the risk of each position.

COMP, gold, and crude oil are highly volatile, so BTC position-sizing standards should not be applied mechanically. Reduce leverage and position size in high-volatility assets, and avoid emotional trading around major data releases, news events, or rapid rallies and selloffs.

Livestream Resources and Participation

Users who have not joined the official KTX Lark group can scan the QR code in the upper-right corner or below the livestream to join. The group provides daily market views, livestream announcements, strategy reviews, and information about related events.

The above content is a recap of the livestream’s market analysis and trading ideas and does not constitute investment advice. Crypto assets and other financial products are highly volatile. Before trading, set position size, stop-loss, and take-profit levels according to your own risk tolerance, and make decisions independently.