2. BTC: Buy Pullbacks at 63K-64.2K; Consider Tactical Shorts at 65.7K-66.3K

On the 4-hour and daily charts, BTC perpetuals continue to show compressed candles. Some four-hour moves have been smaller than 1%, leaving BTC inside a range rather than a clean one-way trend.

The livestream separated the execution plan into downside and upside levels:

• First pullback-long reference near $64,200
• Deeper support near $63,500 and $63,000
• First tactical short reference near $65,700
• Additional resistance near $66,300

The broader strategy has shifted toward buying pullbacks, so shorts at resistance are only short-term trades. They should be managed once price retreats and should not be converted into long-duration bearish positions. If price never reaches a planned level, waiting is more rational than opening a trade in the middle of the range.

3. ETH: Watch 1,880 Intraday; Build Medium-Term Exposure From 1,600 to 1,750

ETH perpetuals traded around $1,910 during the session and remained stronger than earlier expectations. Orders placed around $1,800 and below did not fill during the previous week, illustrating how conservative entries can miss a strong market.

For the short term, the session used roughly $1,880 as the intraday long reference. Shorts are not urgent because ETH has not yet reached the larger 0.618 retracement area. The more relevant tactical short zone is approximately $2,090-$2,100. Even if a short is taken there, it should be treated as a resistance-to-pullback trade and closed after the retracement because the larger directional bias has shifted toward medium-term longs.

The medium-term accumulation plan spans $1,600-$1,750:

• First tranche near $1,750
• Second tranche near $1,690
• Third tranche near $1,650
• Final tranche around $1,600-$1,620

The wide range is designed to avoid committing all capital to a single predicted bottom. Filling only one or two tranches can still be preferable to missing the market while waiting for a perfect low.

4. Crude Oil and Gold: Wait for a Higher Oil Rebound; Buy Gold Pullbacks

4.1 Crude Oil: $79 Is Tradable, but the Cleaner Short Remains Above $80

Crude oil rebounded to roughly $79 and approached a smaller-timeframe 0.618 Fibonacci area. The livestream considered a light short test possible, but did not view the current level as the cleanest entry.

The more conservative plan is to wait above $80 and focus first on the $81-$82 region. A further rebound toward $82-$85 would provide more room for a short setup. Direction should still come from the larger descending structure, while the smaller retracement is used to time the entry. A move to $79 alone is not a reason to chase a short.

4.2 Gold: Avoid Countertrend Shorts; Look for a Pullback Toward 4,200

Gold has already delivered a strong advance. The session maintained a buy-the-pullback bias and rejected the idea of chasing countertrend shorts. A deeper retracement toward roughly $4,200 would provide a more attractive long reference.

The next upside areas are approximately $4,400, $4,450, and $4,500. Earlier plans near $4,208 did not fill consistently, but that is not a reason to chase at a higher price. A valid plan must allow missed trades without lowering the risk standard afterward.

5. Semiconductor Products: Wait on SNDK, Watch 950 in SK Hynix, and Treat Micron as Observation Only

5.1 SNDK: Confirm the Open Before Re-entering

The livestream revisited SNDK. A previous long averaged near 1,277 and was closed around 1,295. Price later rebounded toward 1,325 before dropping sharply again. The cleaner historical accumulation zone was roughly 1,260-1,200, with a stop reference near 1,120 and upside areas near 1,320, 1,370, and 1,400-1,410.

The session did not call for an immediate new position at the current price. Monday's open could produce a sharp move in either direction, so the next decision should follow confirmation after the open. Even when a Fibonacci area appears valid, traders must account for mid-range pricing and sudden volatility expansion.

5.2 SK Hynix: The Descending Channel Remains Relevant; Reassess Near 950

SK Hynix remained close to a descending channel after several attempted breakouts fell back inside the structure. The session noted that longs chased around 1,300-1,500 could face both a long recovery period and significant psychological pressure.

If price drops after the open, roughly 950 is the next area for a small long review, with a stop reference around 870-880. The main lesson is that reaching a 0.786 Fibonacci retracement does not justify mechanically placing a stop at the full 100% retracement. Entering around 1,200 with a stop near 690 would expose close to a 50% loss, making the trade structurally unreasonable.

5.3 Micron: Structural Review, Not a Fresh Signal

Micron, SNDK, and SK Hynix remain the semiconductor products most frequently reviewed in the livestream, but no clear new Micron entry was issued in this session. U.S. equity products may offer more movement when crypto is compressed, but volatility alone is not a reason to trade.

Micron was shown primarily for structural observation, so the chart should not be interpreted as a fresh opening signal.

6. EWY: Stage Entries From 160 to 156, With 152 as the Stop Reference

EWY returned to roughly $162 during the livestream, while the existing position had an average price near $165.3. The next accumulation plan avoids adding immediately and instead places the staged-entry zone at $160-$156, corresponding to the 0.618-0.786 retracement area. The stop reference is near $152.

Entries spread across $160-$156 would produce an average cost near $158, leaving roughly 4% to the $152 stop. Zeyu noted that EWY's leverage cap can actually help position control. Real risk still comes from margin size and total exposure, not the leverage label alone.

Because the U.S. market open can create sudden moves, the plan is to wait for price to reach the zone and confirm rather than predict the opening direction in advance.

7. AAVE and ADA: Constructive Structures That Still Require Support From the Majors

7.1 AAVE: A Strong DeFi Name, but Wait for the Pullback

The livestream treated AAVE as a DeFi asset closely linked to ETH's performance. If ETH remains strong, AAVE can follow with greater elasticity. Compared with COMP, AAVE has also been the relative leader in this phase.

This does not justify chasing the current price. AAVE should be considered only after BTC and ETH pull back and stabilize. If the major coins lose support, even a constructive AAVE chart can fall with the broader market.

7.2 ADA: A Cleaner Shape Than Some Majors, but Not a Chase

The short-term structure in ADA was described as relatively clean, with parts of the chart appearing more orderly than ETH at the time. A prior pullback reached roughly the 0.618 retracement. If the current advance produces another controlled retracement, ADA can be reviewed as a long candidate.

However, ADA and other secondary majors still depend on stability in BTC and ETH. Traders should also understand the project's foundation, use cases, and liquidity before entering. A chart alone cannot protect against the long-term risk of weak liquidity or a trading-pair delisting.

8. Trading Lessons: Low Volatility Requires Patience, and Bull Markets Require Restraint

8.1 Conservative Orders Can Miss, but Chasing Is Not the Solution

During the previous week, conservative BTC and ETH orders missed fills by only about 1%, yet the market never retraced enough to execute them. Conservative positioning can miss a strong move, but moving every order into the middle of the range is not a valid solution.

The better response is to preserve the framework: trade when the pullback reaches the plan, wait when it does not, and use a post-breakout retest if price moves directly higher. The cost of missing one trade is usually smaller than the cost of being trapped at a poor entry.

8.2 Fibonacci Identifies Probability Zones; Stops Must Reflect Actual Risk

U.S. equity and semiconductor products can continue lower even after reaching the 0.786 retracement. A stop should not be placed mechanically at the full 100% retracement without first calculating the possible loss.

If the proposed stop implies a 20%, 30%, or 50% capital drawdown, the problem is not whether the technical line is correct. The entry, position size, or stop structure was invalid from the beginning.

8.3 Traders Can Lose More in a Bull Market

Bull markets expand volatility and the desire to trade. A trader who once waited several days for one setup may begin opening several positions per day. Combined with higher leverage, one sudden correction can erase earlier gains.

Multiple historical bull phases have included extreme single-day selloffs. The stronger the market euphoria, the more important it becomes to limit frequency, aggregate exposure, and correlated risk. A rising macro trend does not make every long entry safe.

8.4 Research Altcoins Before Trading Their Volatility

The copy-trading account has materially reduced ordinary altcoin exposure and now focuses more on BTC, ETH, gold, crude oil, U.S. equity products, and a small number of clearer structures. This does not mean altcoins never offer opportunities. It reflects the higher concentration, liquidity, and delisting risks during a bear market.

Before trading an altcoin, review its use case, market liquidity, and the durability of its trading infrastructure. A trend line or one sharp rally cannot offset the risk of being unable to exit later.

9. Trading Principles From This Session

1. Over the next month, prioritize buying pullbacks and building medium-term longs instead of chasing the middle of the range.
2. Use BTC shorts near $65,700 and $66,300 only as light resistance trades, and manage them after the pullback.
3. Build ETH exposure in stages across $1,600-$1,750 instead of committing all capital to one price.
4. Buy gold pullbacks with the trend; wait above $80 for cleaner crude-oil short risk-reward.
5. U.S. market opens can be volatile, so wait for both the planned price and directional confirmation.
6. When a Fibonacci level fails, manage the real risk instead of mechanically widening the stop.
7. AAVE, ADA, and similar setups require stable BTC and ETH conditions.
8. Bull markets can still produce extreme corrections; higher trading frequency requires tighter leverage and position control.
9. When no planned setup appears, continue waiting. Patience is part of the trading system.

10. Livestream Resources and Participation

Users who have not joined the official KTX Lark community can scan the QR code shown in the livestream. The group shares daily market views, livestream notices, strategy reviews, and related events.

Visit KTX Crypto for live markets and trading services, or browse KTX Crypto Academy for more market analysis and trading education.

This article summarizes an official KTX Chinese-community livestream. All price levels, market views, historical trades, and strategies are presented solely as a recap of the session. They do not represent future performance and do not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency, U.S. equity, commodity, derivatives, and leveraged trading involve substantial risk. Make independent decisions based on your own risk tolerance.