3.BTC Trading Plan: A Bullish View Still Needs a Defense Area

Baize emphasized that BTC longs can still be held, but not without risk control.

Two key defensive approaches were mentioned in the livestream:

• Conservative: if traders do not want to accept too much pullback, they can watch around 61K.
• Patient: if traders care more about BTC's potential catch-up move, they can allow a wider defense area around 60K.

These two areas correspond to different trading styles.

Conservative traders focus more on protecting profits and do not want a winning position to turn into a losing one. Patient traders focus more on trend continuation and can accept a larger pullback while waiting for BTC to continue catching up.

Baize also noted that short-term guidance should still follow real-time strategy updates in the group. Key support and resistance are not single exact points, but zones. The real point is to know your own trading style before entering: are you defending conservatively, or holding patiently?

4.Right-Side Trading Tutorial: Do Not Always Try to Catch the Bottom During a Downtrend

This livestream repeatedly emphasized the importance of "right-side trading."

Baize believes many traders lose money not because they cannot read the market, but because they keep trying to catch the bottom while price is still falling. When the market has not stopped falling and has not given a clear reaction, entering too early can easily be broken by further downside.

A more reasonable process is:

• Wait for price to stop falling.
• Wait for key support to form.
• Wait for price to break out, or retest without breaking down.
• Wait for right-side confirmation before entering.

Baize specifically reminded users that entering after price starts rising is not necessarily late, and the entry will not be much worse. In contrast, entering too early on the left side may create much larger risk because there is no confirmation.

5.ETH: Taking Profit Near 1744 Does Not Mean Immediately Shorting

ETH was the most important take-profit review in this session.

At the beginning of the livestream, Baize called for taking profit on ETH longs near 1744. ETH then pulled back from around 1744 to the 1730s, which validated the short-term take-profit logic.

The take-profit logic was mainly based on three signals:

• 1-hour MACD divergence: price made a new high, but the indicator did not follow.
• RSI started to turn downward.
• Upside volume did not continue to expand, meaning there was not enough momentum to break key resistance.

However, Baize also emphasized that taking profit does not mean immediately shorting.

ETH's uptrend had not been fully broken. It was simply rising too fast in the short term and entering an overextended state, with a need for sideways movement or a pullback. The more reasonable approach was to take profit on the long position first and wait for a pullback or renewed breakout confirmation, rather than blindly reversing short in a strong market.

6.Capital Rotation: After ETH/SOL Strength, BTC May Take Over

After reviewing the ETH take-profit logic, Baize further explained capital flow.

He believes ETH and SOL have already shown strong performance. Few traders are willing to short them, and more retail traders are chasing long positions. In this environment, even if some main capital exits, retail buying may still support them in the short term.

BTC, however, is larger and needs more capital to move. If capital starts to rotate out of ETH, SOL, and other strong names, BTC may become the next target.

This is why, in this session, ETH could take profit while BTC did not need to be closed immediately.

The core logic is:

• ETH/SOL have already rallied and are relatively high in the short term.
• BTC has not fully caught up.
• Capital may rotate from strong names into BTC.
• BTC longs should continue to be watched instead of being closed only because ETH took profit.

7.HYPE: Strong Structure, but Wait for Pullbacks and Right-Side Reactions

HYPE also completed its phase target in this session.

Baize used HYPE to explain a right-side long method for strong coins. If a coin is in an uptrend, traders should not chase just because price is rising. Instead, they should wait for a pullback to key support, observe whether support holds, and then look for a new right-side structure.

HYPE's current structure can be summarized as follows:

• The uptrend remains relatively strong.
• Price rebounded after retesting key trend support.
• Highs are rising, and lows are also rising.
• After the phase target is completed, it is not suitable to keep chasing blindly.

The livestream also mentioned that trades can be managed with a 1:1 risk-reward approach: where support is, the target can be referenced accordingly. Traders should not try to make all the money in one trade, and they should not allow one loss to erase months of profits.

8.ZEC, WLD, and OPEN: Treat Weak Names and Unconfirmed Names Differently

8.1 ZEC: Still Weak After a Rebound

ZEC was classified as weaker than BTC.

After analyzing volume and M90, Baize believed ZEC was only rebounding and remained weak overall. If a trader already held a long position with profit, taking profit after the rebound reached its target should be prioritized. It is not suitable to hold stubbornly.

The logic is simple: when the downside move had heavy volume and the rebound had weak volume, the rebound looks more like a repair move rather than a full trend reversal.

8.2 WLD: Right-Side Short Structure, but No Good Entry Yet

WLD was mentioned as still being in a right-side short structure, but Baize believed the current entry was not easy to define. It is not worth forcing a trade just for the sake of trading.

If there is no clear level, the best approach is to leave it aside.

8.3 OPEN: No Right-Side Confirmation Yet, Do Not Add Positions

OPEN has not yet shown full right-side confirmation.

Baize said that if OPEN can break above the key neckline area and then retest without breaking down, it would become more bullish. Before that right-side signal appears, adding to the position is not recommended.

For users already trapped in long positions, the livestream's approach was to hold for now. The reason is that OPEN has already fallen significantly from its high, and the project may still have market-cap management needs, so it is unlikely to "die" in the short term. But this does not mean traders should add more right now.

9.Target-Zone Tutorial: How to Find a Consensus Pressure Zone

The final teaching point of this session was how to judge rebound targets.

One user asked where ETH's rebound target could be. Baize did not use only one indicator. Instead, he combined multiple methods:

• Pattern resistance
• Fibonacci retracement
• Fibonacci extension

If the levels calculated from different methods are close to each other, they can form a consensus pressure zone.

For example, the livestream mentioned that ETH's pattern resistance, Fibonacci retracement resistance, and Fibonacci extension resistance were all concentrated around 1840-1870. This area matters because different trading systems may see a similar zone: pattern traders may take profit there, Fibonacci traders may also take profit there, and concentrated selling can cause a pullback.

Therefore, a target zone should not be guessed randomly or based on a single line. It should be confirmed by multiple technical methods reaching a similar area.

10.Weekend Trading Reminder: After Making Money, Learn to Rest

At the end of the livestream, Baize reminded users that after Friday, the market enters the weekend. There is no fixed livestream on Saturday and Sunday, and market liquidity is usually weaker.

This week had already completed the rhythm of "short first, then long." If traders have already made money, they do not need to stay glued to the market and force more trades. Trading when the market is good and resting when the market is quiet is also part of trading.

Core reminders:

• Weekend liquidity is usually weaker than weekdays.
• When there is no clear opportunity, do not trade just for the sake of trading.
• If a strong opportunity appears during the weekend, the group will provide updates.
• After making money, traders should also leave some time for life and rest.

11.Core Trading Principles

1. Add to a position only when the direction is right. Do not blindly add to losing positions.
2. ETH and HYPE taking profit does not mean BTC must also be closed. Watch capital rotation and each asset's position.
3. BTC longs can continue to be monitored, but a defense area must be set in advance.
4. Left-side bottom fishing is risky. In most cases, wait for right-side confirmation.
5. MACD divergence, RSI turning down, and weak volume can be used as take-profit references.
6. For strong coins, wait for pullbacks to support and right-side reactions. For weak coins, protect profits after rebounds reach target areas.
7. Weekend liquidity is weak. When there is no clear opportunity, resting is better than forcing trades.

12.Livestream Resources and Participation

Users who have not joined the KTX Official Lark Group can scan the QR code in the upper-right corner or at the bottom of the livestream screen. The group shares daily market views, livestream notifications, strategy reviews, and related activities.

Baize Business School · 10 years of contract trading experience · Professional learning and practice for a different future

This article is compiled from the KTX official Chinese community livestream. All market analysis and trading ideas are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Crypto contracts, altcoins, and prediction markets all involve high risk. Please participate carefully based on your own risk tolerance.